Wednesday, 5 August 2015

Module 5 - DVDs vs. VOD: Increasing Returns or Red Queens?


DVDs vs. VOD: Increasing Returns or Red Queens?

As a PhD student in Educational Technology a recent course assignment has me fascinated by the short stories of Philip K. Dick (Wikipedia, 2015).  Many of his stories have been produced into movies such as Paycheck, Next, Blade Runner, Total Recall and Minority Report. These movies show technologies that did exist at the time of production, but many that have emerged in our world today. These days a person can watch movies in a variety of formats; you purchase them from an online provider like Netflix or iTunes or your cable company provider, or you can buy the Blu-Ray Disc or DVD from a store.

For my assignment in Module 4, I purchased and download the movie Paycheck from iTunes. I had the option to rent it for 3 days or purchase it, the price difference was only $5.00 so I decided to purchase the movie to add to my collection. I have collected movies for many years, starting with VHS tapes. Over the years, as this technology changed to DVDs I replaced most of my collection with DVDs. Now that I have access to VOD and online movie purchases, I find myself using my cloud storage to store my movies and enjoy the easy access to my collection. I also like the space I gained back in my home, by removing the DVDS from my bookshelves. Another advantage of online movie storage is the movies do not get scratched or damaged from excessive use. I still purchase DVDs, but only for my children. Although I have started an online movie collection for them to access on their iPads,, we still use the DVD/Blu-ray player for viewing in the car and home. Most DVD movies you purchase also have a code that you can use to download the movie to your cloud storage; this is an incredible feature as you get both options for the same price.

Two of the six forces in emerging technologies are Red Queens: a competition between two technologies and in the process the others get left behind (Laureate Education, 2014g) and Increasing Returns: two technologies enter the market at the same time and one becomes more popular driving the other to extinction (Laureate Education, 2014e).  

The competition between DVDS, Video on Demand (VOD) is an example of Red Queens. They both still exist and are available to the consumer. Neither of these technologies have driven the other to extinction (Increasing Returns) but VOD is gaining in popularity and I predict it will drive the DVD to extinction.

McLuhan’s Tetrad (Thornburg, 2013c)

Enhances: VOD movies provide the consumer with many viewing options. Movies can be viewed on a computer, tablet, and home theatre system; as well it can be stored on a cloud storage system.

 Obsolete: As the popularity of VOD, iTunes, Netflix and other online movie stores grows, this technology will eventually make the DVD obsolete, just as the DVD replaced the VHS tape.



Retrieval: VOD rekindles the VHS and Beta tape.




Reversal: VOD media boxes i.e. apple TVs, bring back the idea of a VHS player. In the past people used VHS players to watch movies or record TV Shows. Now the consumer can purchase a PVR or similar device to view movies online, download movies to their electronic device.
















References

Laureate Education. (2014e). David Thornburg: Increasing returns [Video file]. Baltimore, MD: Author.

Laureate Education. (2014g). David Thornburg: Red queens [Video File]. Baltimore, MD: Author.

Thornburg, D. (2013c). Emerging technologies and McLuhan's laws of media. Lake Barrington, IL: Thornburg Center for Space Exploration.

Thornburg, D. (2013d). Red queens, butterflies, and strange attractors: Imperfect lenses into emergent technologies. Lake Barrington, IL: Thornburg Center for Space Exploration.

Wikipedia. (2015). Philip K. Dick. Retrieved July 12, 2015, from Wikipedia: The Free Encyclopedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Philip_K._Dick